Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.306058 3.500295 3.707126 3.945023 4.212716 4.506581 4.856321
2025-05-18 2.998771 3.257584 3.547111 3.899145 4.321567 4.820372 5.467235
2025-05-25 2.714444 3.001685 3.334416 3.755904 4.287483 4.953847 5.885713
2025-06-01 2.526023 2.835771 3.205508 3.691272 4.332836 5.185265 6.474527
2025-06-08 2.382506 2.709218 3.109440 3.652592 4.401134 5.453291 7.178946
2025-06-15 2.281366 2.625196 3.056735 3.660957 4.529734 5.824850 8.151013
2025-06-22 2.159272 2.505081 2.946488 3.578400 4.515665 5.977106 8.804455
2025-06-29 2.038769 2.379139 2.818917 3.458815 4.430262 5.998563 9.222481
2025-07-06 1.950862 2.290434 2.734801 3.392633 4.416784 6.135502 9.930128
2025-07-13 1.928986 2.286952 2.765143 3.493503 4.676955 6.804069 12.192600
2025-07-20 1.890989 2.259050 2.758782 3.537623 4.848860 7.351524 14.602734
2025-07-27 1.859615 2.238010 2.759987 3.592282 5.045409 8.003984 18.092826
2025-08-03 1.812416 2.197688 2.737897 3.620156 5.222331 8.734369 23.616017
2025-08-10 1.755341 2.140965 2.688627 3.600305 5.310206 9.306010 30.522574
2025-08-17 1.679000 2.053621 2.588956 3.488480 5.202953 9.344515 34.535908
2025-08-24 1.624158 1.994766 2.529216 3.439830 5.218217 9.742938 45.058500
2025-08-31 1.578262 1.946759 2.483259 3.410939 5.270969 10.289052 66.631532
2025-09-07 1.544975 1.915497 2.461150 3.421696 5.411682 11.209450 150.147271
2025-09-14 1.495855 1.858980 2.396578 3.350893 5.359043 11.438599 308.000620
2025-09-21 1.442359 1.794217 2.316257 3.246131 5.215474 11.274779 503.119527
2025-09-28 1.402144 1.747853 2.263194 3.188071 5.174989 11.516643 NaN
2025-10-05 1.395663 1.751268 2.289313 3.278476 5.505239 13.585312 NaN
2025-10-12 1.379043 1.738662 2.288703 3.318097 5.719763 15.427132 NaN